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Example. The 2025 finale, week 18: real games, real crews, real flags and what they cost, on an example roster. Not your team. Connect yours in about a minute, no account needed.
Results, week 18
The referees threw 712 flags on or against this example lineup in 2025, and on net they went 2275.7 points of win probability its way. Nobody else in fantasy football will tell you that.
Example Team in ChallengeFlag Example League. How the week went, then what the calls cost.
Week complete all 16 games final
Scoreboard week 18, PPR scoring from your league
Where I thought I was, and where I am projected line and actual line per side, same scale; hover or tap a segment for the player
Me projected
86.2 (2 without a number)
actual
114.5 (3 without a number)
Position:QBRBWRTEKDEF. Lighter is projected, solid is actual.
Your starters
114.5 9 of 9 games final
86.2 projected (+28.3). Bench scored 65.8.
No matchup data for this week on the platform.
Who underperformed
Points left on the bench
40.1
  • RB: Chase Brown (19.0) over Saquon Barkley (0.0), +19.0
  • TE: Trey McBride (13.5) over Brock Bowers (0.0), +13.5
  • WR: Puka Nacua (26.0) over Justin Jefferson (18.4), +7.6
SlotPlayerPointsProjectedvs projection
QBJosh Allen QB BUF-2.5-
RBSaquon Barkley RB PHI---
RBDerrick Henry RB BAL12.616.8-4.2 under
WRJa'Marr Chase WR CIN23.618.8+4.8
WRJustin Jefferson WR MIN18.413.6+4.8
TEBrock Bowers TE LV---
FLEXAmon-Ra St. Brown WR DET24.917.5+7.4
KJake Bates K DET13.08.9+4.1
DEFDEN defense DEF DEN22.08.0+14.0
BNPuka Nacua WR LAR26.021.2+4.8
BNChase Brown RB CIN19.014.7+4.3
BNTrey McBride TE ARI13.517.8-4.3
BNBijan Robinson RB ATL7.321.2-13.9
BNJayden Daniels QB WAS---
Final how each of your players' games went

CLE @ CIN20-18 Final

Your playersJa'Marr Chase WR 18.8, Chase Brown RB 14.7 (33.6 projected)

How it went

Cleveland beat Cincinnati 20-18 because CIN missed a kick in a 2 points game, even though Cincinnati won more of the stat sheet.

CLECIN
Final score2018
Total yards200364
Rushing yards118142
Passing yards82222
Third downs5/145/11
Turnovers12
KEY FACTORS
  • What decided it: CLE won by 2 points while CIN led 8 of 9 units. The difference: takeaways (CLE 2 to 1).
  • Pass rush: CLE's receivers had nowhere to go: the quarterback was pressured on 71% of dropbacks and targets averaged 5.3 yards.
  • Efficiency: CIN averaged 5.5 yards per play and converted 5 of 11 third downs (45%); CLE 3.8 and 5 of 14.
  • Ground game: CIN ran for 142 yards on 25 carries (5.7 per carry), 44 of them after contact.
  • Blitz: CIN's blitz got home: 6 sacks and 20 pressures on CLE.
  • Kicking: A missed kick loomed large: CIN went 0 of 0 on field goals and 0 of 2 on extra points in a game decided by 2 points.
PlayerCallWhat it cost
CIN offense (Ja'Marr Chase, Chase Brown) CINDefensive Offside drawn, 5 yds, 1st 09:40-1.7
CIN offense (Ja'Marr Chase, Chase Brown) CINDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 15 yds, 2nd 00:33no number

GB @ MIN3-16 Final

Your playersJustin Jefferson WR 13.6

How it went

Minnesota beat Green Bay 16-3 because the pass rush pressured GB on 60% of dropbacks and held its targets to 3.4 yards each and the offense averaged 5.7 yards per play, even though Green Bay won more of the stat sheet.

MINGB
Final score163
Total yards363121
Rushing yards137128
Passing yards226-7
Third downs2/103/12
Turnovers10
KEY FACTORS
  • What decided it: MIN won by 13 points while GB led 5 of 9 units. The difference: yards per play (MIN 5.7 to 2.4), passing (MIN 239 yds to 34 yds), run defense (MIN 8 TFL to 4 TFL).
  • Pulled away: MIN pulled away to a 16-0 lead in the fourth quarter and led 13-0 at the half.
  • Pass rush: GB's receivers had nowhere to go: the quarterback was pressured on 60% of dropbacks and targets averaged 3.4 yards.
  • Efficiency: MIN averaged 5.7 yards per play and converted 2 of 10 third downs (20%); GB 2.4 and 3 of 12.
  • Blitz: MIN's blitz got home: 4 sacks and 9 pressures on GB.
  • Passing: MIN beat the rush: pressured on 30% of dropbacks and still averaged 7.7 yards per attempt.
PlayerCallWhat it cost
MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MINDefensive Offside drawn, 5 yds, 1st 02:53-1.3
MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MINDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 32 yds, 4th 13:37-0.7
MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MINDefensive Offside drawn, 5 yds, 4th 12:53-0.1
MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MINIllegal Contact drawn, 5 yds, 4th 13:37no number
MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MINDefensive Offside drawn, 5 yds, 1st 09:02no number

NO @ ATL17-19 Final

Your playersBijan Robinson RB 21.2

How it went

Atlanta beat New Orleans 19-17 because J. Pearce Jr. had 2 sacks and the blitz produced 4 sacks, even though New Orleans won more of the stat sheet.

ATLNO
Final score1917
Total yards208340
Rushing yards49108
Passing yards159232
Third downs4/145/16
Turnovers12
KEY FACTORS
  • What decided it: ATL won by 2 points while NO led 7 of 9 units. The difference: punting (ATL 50.3 net to 44.3 net), takeaways (ATL 2 to 1).
  • Efficiency: NO averaged 5.2 yards per play and converted 5 of 16 third downs (31%); ATL 3.4 and 4 of 14.
  • Blitz: ATL's blitz got home: 4 sacks and 9 pressures on NO.
  • Kicking: A missed kick loomed large: NO went 1 of 2 on field goals and 2 of 2 on extra points in a game decided by 2 points.
  • Pass rush: ATL gave up 4 sacks for 21 yards, killing drives before they started.
  • James Pearce Jr.: 2 sacks and 2 more pressures for ATL.
PlayerCallWhat it cost
ATL offense (Bijan Robinson) ATLDefensive Holding drawn, 5 yds, 1st 06:02-3.1
ATL offense (Bijan Robinson) ATLDefensive Offside drawn, 5 yds, 3rd 08:55no number

ARI @ LAR20-37 Final

Your playersPuka Nacua WR 21.2, Trey McBride TE 17.8 (39.0 projected)

How it went

Los Angeles beat Arizona 37-20 because the defense won the turnover battle 2 to 0 and D. Johnson had 2 sacks.

LARARI
Final score3720
Total yards395317
Rushing yards14379
Passing yards252238
Third downs9/164/11
Turnovers02
KEY FACTORS
  • Pulled away: LAR pulled away to a 36-20 lead in the fourth quarter and led 16-6 at the half.
  • What decided it: LAR led 6 of 9 units, most clearly pass rush (LAR 25 pressures to 11 pressures), returns (LAR 143 yds to 76 yds), takeaways (LAR 2 to 0).
  • Turnovers: LAR won the turnover battle 2 to 0.
  • Ground game: LAR ran for 143 yards on 31 carries (4.6 per carry), 74 of them after contact.
  • Desjuan Johnson: 2 sacks and 4 more pressures for LAR.
  • Passing: ARI beat the rush: pressured on 66% of dropbacks and still averaged 8.5 yards per attempt.
PlayerCallWhat it cost
ARI offense (Trey McBride) ARINeutral Zone Infraction drawn, 5 yds, 3rd 07:56-1.9
LAR offense (Puka Nacua) LARDefensive Offside drawn, 5 yds, 2nd 00:49-1.2
LAR offense (Puka Nacua) LARDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 15 yds, 1st 00:47no number

DET @ CHI19-16 Final

Your playersAmon-Ra St. Brown WR 17.5, Jake Bates K 8.9 (26.4 projected)

How it went

Detroit beat Chicago 19-16 because receiver A. St. Brown caught 11 passes for 139 yards and the passing game beat the rush at 7.9 yards per attempt.

DETCHI
Final score1916
Total yards433270
Rushing yards12265
Passing yards311205
Third downs6/134/11
Turnovers11
KEY FACTORS
  • Pulled away: DET pulled away to a 16-0 lead in the third quarter and led 13-0 at the half.
  • What decided it: DET led 5 of 9 units, most clearly passing (DET 331 yds to 212 yds), rushing (DET 122 yds to 65 yds), yards per play (DET 6.0 to 5.2).
  • Kicking: A missed kick loomed large: DET went 4 of 5 on field goals and 1 of 1 on extra points in a game decided by 3 points.
  • Passing: DET beat the rush: pressured on 42% of dropbacks and still averaged 7.9 yards per attempt.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: Caught 11 passes for 139 yards for DET.
  • Drops: CHI receivers dropped 3 catchable balls.
PlayerCallWhat it cost
DET offense (Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jake Bates) DETEncroachment drawn, 5 yds, 2nd 07:39-6.8
DET offense (Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jake Bates) DETEncroachment drawn, 5 yds, 4th 02:30-3.1

KC @ LV12-14 Final

Your playersBrock Bowers TE

How it went

Las Vegas beat Kansas City 14-12 because the pass rush pressured KC on 54% of dropbacks and held its targets to 4.9 yards each and T. Hemingway had 2 sacks.

LVKC
Final score1412
Total yards204168
Rushing yards11884
Passing yards8684
Third downs4/163/17
Turnovers22
KEY FACTORS
  • What decided it: LV led 6 of 9 units, most clearly returns (LV 190 yds to 13 yds), pass rush (LV 21 pressures to 8 pressures), yards per play (LV 3.3 to 2.7).
  • Pass rush: KC's receivers had nowhere to go: the quarterback was pressured on 54% of dropbacks and targets averaged 4.9 yards.
  • Blitz: LV's blitz got home: 7 sacks and 21 pressures on KC.
  • Blitz: KC's blitz got home: 3 sacks and 8 pressures on LV.
  • Tonka Hemingway: 2 sacks and 3 more pressures for LV.
  • Pass rush: KC gave up 8 sacks for 62 yards, killing drives before they started.
PlayerCallWhat it cost
LV offense (Brock Bowers) LVUnnecessary Roughness / Offense drawn, 10 yds, 1st 02:16-4.7
LV offense (Brock Bowers) LVDefensive Holding drawn, 5 yds, 2nd 05:40-3.6
LV offense (Brock Bowers) LVDefensive Holding drawn, 5 yds, 2nd 02:57-1.5

LAC @ DEN3-19 Final

Your playersDEN defense DEF 8.0

How it went

Denver beat Los Angeles 19-3 because the defense won the turnover battle 2 to 0 and the blitz produced 3 sacks, even though Los Angeles won more of the stat sheet.

DENLAC
Final score193
Total yards240217
Rushing yards116113
Passing yards124104
Third downs5/157/20
Turnovers02
KEY FACTORS
  • What decided it: DEN won by 16 points while LAC led 5 of 9 units. The difference: takeaways (DEN 2 to 0), yards per play (DEN 4.1 to 3.1), passing (DEN 141 yds to 136 yds).
  • Pulled away: DEN pulled away to a 19-3 lead in the fourth quarter and led 10-3 at the half.
  • Turnovers: DEN won the turnover battle 2 to 0.
  • Blitz: DEN's blitz got home: 3 sacks and 14 pressures on LAC.
  • Blitz: LAC's blitz got home: 3 sacks and 15 pressures on DEN.
  • Pass rush: DEN gave up 4 sacks for 17 yards, killing drives before they started.
PlayerCallWhat it cost
DEN defense DENDelay of Game drawn, 5 yds, 2nd 00:11-2.4
DEN defense DENFalse Start drawn, 5 yds, 2nd 00:54-1.4
DEN defense DENIneligible Downfield Pass drawn, 5 yds, 4th 11:36-0.5
DEN defense DENFalse Start drawn, 5 yds, 4th 10:36-0.4
DEN defense DENIllegal Formation drawn, 5 yds, 4th 00:38<0.1
DEN defense DENIneligible Downfield Pass drawn, 5 yds, 4th 09:09no number

NYJ @ BUF8-35 Final

Your playersJosh Allen QB 2.5

How it went

Buffalo beat New York 35-8 because the offense averaged 6.5 yards per play and running back R. Davis ran for 151 yards.

BUFNYJ
Final score358
Total yards470122
Rushing yards21169
Passing yards25953
Third downs6/135/13
Turnovers00
KEY FACTORS
  • Pulled away: BUF pulled away to a 35-0 lead in the fourth quarter and led 21-0 at the half.
  • What decided it: BUF led 6 of 8 units, most clearly yards per play (BUF 6.5 to 2.7), rushing (BUF 211 yds to 69 yds), passing (BUF 259 yds to 60 yds).
  • Efficiency: BUF averaged 6.5 yards per play and converted 6 of 13 third downs (46%); NYJ 2.7 and 5 of 13.
  • Ground game: BUF ran for 211 yards on 43 carries (4.9 per carry), 119 of them after contact.
  • Run defense: BUF's front shut down the run: NYJ averaged 3.0 yards per carry with 5 stops behind the line.
  • Ray Davis: Rushed for 151 yards on 21 carries for BUF.
PlayerCallWhat it cost
BUF offense (Josh Allen) BUFFace Mask (15 Yards) drawn, 12 yds, 2nd 13:34-9.9

WAS @ PHI24-17 Final

Your playersSaquon Barkley RB, Jayden Daniels QB

How it went

Washington beat Philadelphia 24-17 because the blitz produced 3 sacks.

WASPHI
Final score2417
Total yards274307
Rushing yards14380
Passing yards131227
Third downs6/116/14
Turnovers21
KEY FACTORS
  • What decided it: WAS led 5 of 9 units, most clearly pass rush (WAS 14 pressures to 5 pressures), punting (WAS 46.3 net to 38.0 net), rushing (WAS 143 yds to 80 yds).
  • Blitz: WAS's blitz got home: 3 sacks and 14 pressures on PHI.
  • Jalyx Hunt: 1 interception, 1 fumble recovery for PHI.
PlayerCallWhat it cost
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 32 yds, 4th 08:37-18.9
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 29 yds, 4th 12:02-15.0
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 23 yds, 2nd 09:57-11.9
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 4 yds, 4th 11:14-5.0
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Holding drawn, 5 yds, 3rd 11:05-3.4
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Holding drawn, 5 yds, 1st 08:58-2.8
PHI offense (Saquon Barkley) PHIDefensive Offside drawn, 5 yds, 2nd 07:20-1.9
PHI offense (Saquon Barkley) PHIDefensive Holding drawn, 5 yds, 3rd 01:26no number
PHI offense (Saquon Barkley) PHIFace Mask (15 Yards) drawn, 15 yds, 3rd 01:26no number

BAL @ PIT24-26 Final

Your playersDerrick Henry RB 16.8

How it went

Pittsburgh beat Baltimore 26-24 because the blitz produced 3 sacks and BAL missed a kick in a 2 points game.

PITBAL
Final score2624
Total yards390359
Rushing yards100137
Passing yards290222
Third downs9/164/13
Turnovers01
KEY FACTORS
  • What decided it: PIT led 4 of 9 units, most clearly third downs (PIT 9 of 16 to 4 of 13), takeaways (PIT 1 to 0), pass rush (PIT 10 pressures to 7 pressures).
  • Efficiency: BAL averaged 7.5 yards per play and converted 4 of 13 third downs (31%); PIT 5.3 and 9 of 16.
  • Blitz: PIT's blitz got home: 3 sacks and 10 pressures on BAL.
  • Kicking: A missed kick loomed large: PIT went 2 of 2 on field goals and 2 of 3 on extra points in a game decided by 2 points.
  • Kicking: A missed kick loomed large: BAL went 1 of 2 on field goals and 3 of 3 on extra points in a game decided by 2 points.
  • Passing: BAL beat the rush: pressured on 48% of dropbacks and still averaged 13.2 yards per attempt.
PlayerCallWhat it cost
BAL offense (Derrick Henry) BALRoughing the Passer drawn, 15 yds, 1st 07:19-4.6
BAL offense (Derrick Henry) BALDefensive Holding drawn, 5 yds, 4th 02:30no number
The calls a side dish: what the flags cost your players' teams in win probability
What the calls cost my lineup, week 18
-107.8
points of win probability across 35 flags, 26 priced from field position
Season ledger
-2275.7
712 flags through week 18
W1: -215.9 W2: -153.9 W3: -124.1 W4: -101.3 W5: -155.4 W6: -134.6 W7: -119.2 W8: -44.0 W9: -110.7 W10: -95.4 W11: -171.1 W12: -161.9 W13: -126.7 W14: -79.4 W15: -102.2 W16: -203.6 W17: -68.5 W18: -107.8
This week's calls points of win probability: positive cost your player's team, negative helped
PlayerCallGameWhat it cost
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 32 ydsWAS @ PHI 4th 08:37-18.9
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 29 ydsWAS @ PHI 4th 12:02-15.0
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 23 ydsWAS @ PHI 2nd 09:57-11.9
BUF offense (Josh Allen) BUFFace Mask (15 Yards) drawn, 12 ydsNYJ @ BUF 2nd 13:34-9.9
DET offense (Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jake Bates) DETEncroachment drawn, 5 ydsDET @ CHI 2nd 07:39-6.8
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 4 ydsWAS @ PHI 4th 11:14-5.0
LV offense (Brock Bowers) LVUnnecessary Roughness / Offense drawn, 10 ydsKC @ LV 1st 02:16-4.7
BAL offense (Derrick Henry) BALRoughing the Passer drawn, 15 ydsBAL @ PIT 1st 07:19-4.6
LV offense (Brock Bowers) LVDefensive Holding drawn, 5 ydsKC @ LV 2nd 05:40-3.6
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Holding drawn, 5 ydsWAS @ PHI 3rd 11:05-3.4
ATL offense (Bijan Robinson) ATLDefensive Holding drawn, 5 ydsNO @ ATL 1st 06:02-3.1
DET offense (Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jake Bates) DETEncroachment drawn, 5 ydsDET @ CHI 4th 02:30-3.1
WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WASDefensive Holding drawn, 5 ydsWAS @ PHI 1st 08:58-2.8
DEN defense DENDelay of Game drawn, 5 ydsLAC @ DEN 2nd 00:11-2.4
ARI offense (Trey McBride) ARINeutral Zone Infraction drawn, 5 ydsARI @ LAR 3rd 07:56-1.9
PHI offense (Saquon Barkley) PHIDefensive Offside drawn, 5 ydsWAS @ PHI 2nd 07:20-1.9
CIN offense (Ja'Marr Chase, Chase Brown) CINDefensive Offside drawn, 5 ydsCLE @ CIN 1st 09:40-1.7
LV offense (Brock Bowers) LVDefensive Holding drawn, 5 ydsKC @ LV 2nd 02:57-1.5
DEN defense DENFalse Start drawn, 5 ydsLAC @ DEN 2nd 00:54-1.4
MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MINDefensive Offside drawn, 5 ydsGB @ MIN 1st 02:53-1.3
LAR offense (Puka Nacua) LARDefensive Offside drawn, 5 ydsARI @ LAR 2nd 00:49-1.2
MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MINDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 32 ydsGB @ MIN 4th 13:37-0.7
DEN defense DENIneligible Downfield Pass drawn, 5 ydsLAC @ DEN 4th 11:36-0.5
DEN defense DENFalse Start drawn, 5 ydsLAC @ DEN 4th 10:36-0.4
MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MINDefensive Offside drawn, 5 ydsGB @ MIN 4th 12:53-0.1
DEN defense DENIllegal Formation drawn, 5 ydsLAC @ DEN 4th 00:38<0.1
MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MINIllegal Contact drawn, 5 ydsGB @ MIN 4th 13:37no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
BAL offense (Derrick Henry) BALDefensive Holding drawn, 5 ydsBAL @ PIT 4th 02:30no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MINDefensive Offside drawn, 5 ydsGB @ MIN 1st 09:02no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
CIN offense (Ja'Marr Chase, Chase Brown) CINDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 15 ydsCLE @ CIN 2nd 00:33no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
LAR offense (Puka Nacua) LARDefensive Pass Interference drawn, 15 ydsARI @ LAR 1st 00:47no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
PHI offense (Saquon Barkley) PHIDefensive Holding drawn, 5 ydsWAS @ PHI 3rd 01:26no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
PHI offense (Saquon Barkley) PHIFace Mask (15 Yards) drawn, 15 ydsWAS @ PHI 3rd 01:26no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
ATL offense (Bijan Robinson) ATLDefensive Offside drawn, 5 ydsNO @ ATL 3rd 08:55no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
DEN defense DENIneligible Downfield Pass drawn, 5 ydsLAC @ DEN 4th 09:09no number
No change (declined or offsetting)
Season ledger by player
PlayerFlagsWhat it cost
Derrick Henry BAL51-140.2
Brock Bowers LV54-145.4
Jayden Daniels WAS61-177.1
Puka Nacua LAR74-178.7
Saquon Barkley PHI44-180.0
Jake Bates DET49-192.1
Justin Jefferson MIN56-197.6
DEN defense DEN89-199.0
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET45-203.4
Trey McBride ARI55-205.7
Bijan Robinson ATL57-208.7
Josh Allen BUF53-218.6
Season ledger by crew
CrewFlagsWhat it cost
Ron Torbert's crew3-4.0
Alex Moore's crew4-4.2
Land Clark's crew2-14.0
Alex Moore's crew13-25.5
Scott Novak's crew5-26.9
Adrian Hill's crew41-56.2
Ron Torbert's crew39-89.0
Brad Rogers's crew36-94.3
Alex Kemp's crew47-99.1
Brad Allen's crew43-111.4
Shawn Smith's crew45-112.3
Alex Moore's crew28-119.5
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