NFL Draft Intelligence — ML-powered prospect rankings
| Slot | Player | Points | Projected | vs projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Josh Allen QB BUF | - | 2.5 | - |
| RB | Saquon Barkley RB PHI | - | - | - |
| RB | Derrick Henry RB BAL | 12.6 | 16.8 | -4.2 under |
| WR | Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN | 23.6 | 18.8 | +4.8 |
| WR | Justin Jefferson WR MIN | 18.4 | 13.6 | +4.8 |
| TE | Brock Bowers TE LV | - | - | - |
| FLEX | Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET | 24.9 | 17.5 | +7.4 |
| K | Jake Bates K DET | 13.0 | 8.9 | +4.1 |
| DEF | DEN defense DEF DEN | 22.0 | 8.0 | +14.0 |
| BN | Puka Nacua WR LAR | 26.0 | 21.2 | +4.8 |
| BN | Chase Brown RB CIN | 19.0 | 14.7 | +4.3 |
| BN | Trey McBride TE ARI | 13.5 | 17.8 | -4.3 |
| BN | Bijan Robinson RB ATL | 7.3 | 21.2 | -13.9 |
| BN | Jayden Daniels QB WAS | - | - | - |
Cleveland beat Cincinnati 20-18 because CIN missed a kick in a 2 points game, even though Cincinnati won more of the stat sheet.
| CLE | CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Final score | 20 | 18 |
| Total yards | 200 | 364 |
| Rushing yards | 118 | 142 |
| Passing yards | 82 | 222 |
| Third downs | 5/14 | 5/11 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Player | Call | What it cost |
|---|---|---|
| CIN offense (Ja'Marr Chase, Chase Brown) CIN | Defensive Offside drawn, 5 yds, 1st 09:40 | -1.7 |
| CIN offense (Ja'Marr Chase, Chase Brown) CIN | Defensive Pass Interference drawn, 15 yds, 2nd 00:33 | no number |
Minnesota beat Green Bay 16-3 because the pass rush pressured GB on 60% of dropbacks and held its targets to 3.4 yards each and the offense averaged 5.7 yards per play, even though Green Bay won more of the stat sheet.
| MIN | GB | |
|---|---|---|
| Final score | 16 | 3 |
| Total yards | 363 | 121 |
| Rushing yards | 137 | 128 |
| Passing yards | 226 | -7 |
| Third downs | 2/10 | 3/12 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Player | Call | What it cost |
|---|---|---|
| MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MIN | Defensive Offside drawn, 5 yds, 1st 02:53 | -1.3 |
| MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MIN | Defensive Pass Interference drawn, 32 yds, 4th 13:37 | -0.7 |
| MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MIN | Defensive Offside drawn, 5 yds, 4th 12:53 | -0.1 |
| MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MIN | Illegal Contact drawn, 5 yds, 4th 13:37 | no number |
| MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MIN | Defensive Offside drawn, 5 yds, 1st 09:02 | no number |
Atlanta beat New Orleans 19-17 because J. Pearce Jr. had 2 sacks and the blitz produced 4 sacks, even though New Orleans won more of the stat sheet.
| ATL | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| Final score | 19 | 17 |
| Total yards | 208 | 340 |
| Rushing yards | 49 | 108 |
| Passing yards | 159 | 232 |
| Third downs | 4/14 | 5/16 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Player | Call | What it cost |
|---|---|---|
| ATL offense (Bijan Robinson) ATL | Defensive Holding drawn, 5 yds, 1st 06:02 | -3.1 |
| ATL offense (Bijan Robinson) ATL | Defensive Offside drawn, 5 yds, 3rd 08:55 | no number |
Los Angeles beat Arizona 37-20 because the defense won the turnover battle 2 to 0 and D. Johnson had 2 sacks.
| LAR | ARI | |
|---|---|---|
| Final score | 37 | 20 |
| Total yards | 395 | 317 |
| Rushing yards | 143 | 79 |
| Passing yards | 252 | 238 |
| Third downs | 9/16 | 4/11 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 2 |
| Player | Call | What it cost |
|---|---|---|
| ARI offense (Trey McBride) ARI | Neutral Zone Infraction drawn, 5 yds, 3rd 07:56 | -1.9 |
| LAR offense (Puka Nacua) LAR | Defensive Offside drawn, 5 yds, 2nd 00:49 | -1.2 |
| LAR offense (Puka Nacua) LAR | Defensive Pass Interference drawn, 15 yds, 1st 00:47 | no number |
Detroit beat Chicago 19-16 because receiver A. St. Brown caught 11 passes for 139 yards and the passing game beat the rush at 7.9 yards per attempt.
| DET | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Final score | 19 | 16 |
| Total yards | 433 | 270 |
| Rushing yards | 122 | 65 |
| Passing yards | 311 | 205 |
| Third downs | 6/13 | 4/11 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| Player | Call | What it cost |
|---|---|---|
| DET offense (Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jake Bates) DET | Encroachment drawn, 5 yds, 2nd 07:39 | -6.8 |
| DET offense (Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jake Bates) DET | Encroachment drawn, 5 yds, 4th 02:30 | -3.1 |
Las Vegas beat Kansas City 14-12 because the pass rush pressured KC on 54% of dropbacks and held its targets to 4.9 yards each and T. Hemingway had 2 sacks.
| LV | KC | |
|---|---|---|
| Final score | 14 | 12 |
| Total yards | 204 | 168 |
| Rushing yards | 118 | 84 |
| Passing yards | 86 | 84 |
| Third downs | 4/16 | 3/17 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
| Player | Call | What it cost |
|---|---|---|
| LV offense (Brock Bowers) LV | Unnecessary Roughness / Offense drawn, 10 yds, 1st 02:16 | -4.7 |
| LV offense (Brock Bowers) LV | Defensive Holding drawn, 5 yds, 2nd 05:40 | -3.6 |
| LV offense (Brock Bowers) LV | Defensive Holding drawn, 5 yds, 2nd 02:57 | -1.5 |
Denver beat Los Angeles 19-3 because the defense won the turnover battle 2 to 0 and the blitz produced 3 sacks, even though Los Angeles won more of the stat sheet.
| DEN | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Final score | 19 | 3 |
| Total yards | 240 | 217 |
| Rushing yards | 116 | 113 |
| Passing yards | 124 | 104 |
| Third downs | 5/15 | 7/20 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 2 |
| Player | Call | What it cost |
|---|---|---|
| DEN defense DEN | Delay of Game drawn, 5 yds, 2nd 00:11 | -2.4 |
| DEN defense DEN | False Start drawn, 5 yds, 2nd 00:54 | -1.4 |
| DEN defense DEN | Ineligible Downfield Pass drawn, 5 yds, 4th 11:36 | -0.5 |
| DEN defense DEN | False Start drawn, 5 yds, 4th 10:36 | -0.4 |
| DEN defense DEN | Illegal Formation drawn, 5 yds, 4th 00:38 | <0.1 |
| DEN defense DEN | Ineligible Downfield Pass drawn, 5 yds, 4th 09:09 | no number |
Buffalo beat New York 35-8 because the offense averaged 6.5 yards per play and running back R. Davis ran for 151 yards.
| BUF | NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Final score | 35 | 8 |
| Total yards | 470 | 122 |
| Rushing yards | 211 | 69 |
| Passing yards | 259 | 53 |
| Third downs | 6/13 | 5/13 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Call | What it cost |
|---|---|---|
| BUF offense (Josh Allen) BUF | Face Mask (15 Yards) drawn, 12 yds, 2nd 13:34 | -9.9 |
Washington beat Philadelphia 24-17 because the blitz produced 3 sacks.
| WAS | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Final score | 24 | 17 |
| Total yards | 274 | 307 |
| Rushing yards | 143 | 80 |
| Passing yards | 131 | 227 |
| Third downs | 6/11 | 6/14 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Player | Call | What it cost |
|---|---|---|
| WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WAS | Defensive Pass Interference drawn, 32 yds, 4th 08:37 | -18.9 |
| WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WAS | Defensive Pass Interference drawn, 29 yds, 4th 12:02 | -15.0 |
| WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WAS | Defensive Pass Interference drawn, 23 yds, 2nd 09:57 | -11.9 |
| WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WAS | Defensive Pass Interference drawn, 4 yds, 4th 11:14 | -5.0 |
| WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WAS | Defensive Holding drawn, 5 yds, 3rd 11:05 | -3.4 |
| WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WAS | Defensive Holding drawn, 5 yds, 1st 08:58 | -2.8 |
| PHI offense (Saquon Barkley) PHI | Defensive Offside drawn, 5 yds, 2nd 07:20 | -1.9 |
| PHI offense (Saquon Barkley) PHI | Defensive Holding drawn, 5 yds, 3rd 01:26 | no number |
| PHI offense (Saquon Barkley) PHI | Face Mask (15 Yards) drawn, 15 yds, 3rd 01:26 | no number |
Pittsburgh beat Baltimore 26-24 because the blitz produced 3 sacks and BAL missed a kick in a 2 points game.
| PIT | BAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Final score | 26 | 24 |
| Total yards | 390 | 359 |
| Rushing yards | 100 | 137 |
| Passing yards | 290 | 222 |
| Third downs | 9/16 | 4/13 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Player | Call | What it cost |
|---|---|---|
| BAL offense (Derrick Henry) BAL | Roughing the Passer drawn, 15 yds, 1st 07:19 | -4.6 |
| BAL offense (Derrick Henry) BAL | Defensive Holding drawn, 5 yds, 4th 02:30 | no number |
| Player | Call | Game | What it cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WAS | Defensive Pass Interference drawn, 32 yds | WAS @ PHI 4th 08:37 | -18.9 |
| WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WAS | Defensive Pass Interference drawn, 29 yds | WAS @ PHI 4th 12:02 | -15.0 |
| WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WAS | Defensive Pass Interference drawn, 23 yds | WAS @ PHI 2nd 09:57 | -11.9 |
| BUF offense (Josh Allen) BUF | Face Mask (15 Yards) drawn, 12 yds | NYJ @ BUF 2nd 13:34 | -9.9 |
| DET offense (Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jake Bates) DET | Encroachment drawn, 5 yds | DET @ CHI 2nd 07:39 | -6.8 |
| WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WAS | Defensive Pass Interference drawn, 4 yds | WAS @ PHI 4th 11:14 | -5.0 |
| LV offense (Brock Bowers) LV | Unnecessary Roughness / Offense drawn, 10 yds | KC @ LV 1st 02:16 | -4.7 |
| BAL offense (Derrick Henry) BAL | Roughing the Passer drawn, 15 yds | BAL @ PIT 1st 07:19 | -4.6 |
| LV offense (Brock Bowers) LV | Defensive Holding drawn, 5 yds | KC @ LV 2nd 05:40 | -3.6 |
| WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WAS | Defensive Holding drawn, 5 yds | WAS @ PHI 3rd 11:05 | -3.4 |
| ATL offense (Bijan Robinson) ATL | Defensive Holding drawn, 5 yds | NO @ ATL 1st 06:02 | -3.1 |
| DET offense (Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jake Bates) DET | Encroachment drawn, 5 yds | DET @ CHI 4th 02:30 | -3.1 |
| WAS offense (Jayden Daniels) WAS | Defensive Holding drawn, 5 yds | WAS @ PHI 1st 08:58 | -2.8 |
| DEN defense DEN | Delay of Game drawn, 5 yds | LAC @ DEN 2nd 00:11 | -2.4 |
| ARI offense (Trey McBride) ARI | Neutral Zone Infraction drawn, 5 yds | ARI @ LAR 3rd 07:56 | -1.9 |
| PHI offense (Saquon Barkley) PHI | Defensive Offside drawn, 5 yds | WAS @ PHI 2nd 07:20 | -1.9 |
| CIN offense (Ja'Marr Chase, Chase Brown) CIN | Defensive Offside drawn, 5 yds | CLE @ CIN 1st 09:40 | -1.7 |
| LV offense (Brock Bowers) LV | Defensive Holding drawn, 5 yds | KC @ LV 2nd 02:57 | -1.5 |
| DEN defense DEN | False Start drawn, 5 yds | LAC @ DEN 2nd 00:54 | -1.4 |
| MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MIN | Defensive Offside drawn, 5 yds | GB @ MIN 1st 02:53 | -1.3 |
| LAR offense (Puka Nacua) LAR | Defensive Offside drawn, 5 yds | ARI @ LAR 2nd 00:49 | -1.2 |
| MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MIN | Defensive Pass Interference drawn, 32 yds | GB @ MIN 4th 13:37 | -0.7 |
| DEN defense DEN | Ineligible Downfield Pass drawn, 5 yds | LAC @ DEN 4th 11:36 | -0.5 |
| DEN defense DEN | False Start drawn, 5 yds | LAC @ DEN 4th 10:36 | -0.4 |
| MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MIN | Defensive Offside drawn, 5 yds | GB @ MIN 4th 12:53 | -0.1 |
| DEN defense DEN | Illegal Formation drawn, 5 yds | LAC @ DEN 4th 00:38 | <0.1 |
| MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MIN | Illegal Contact drawn, 5 yds | GB @ MIN 4th 13:37 | no number No change (declined or offsetting) |
| BAL offense (Derrick Henry) BAL | Defensive Holding drawn, 5 yds | BAL @ PIT 4th 02:30 | no number No change (declined or offsetting) |
| MIN offense (Justin Jefferson) MIN | Defensive Offside drawn, 5 yds | GB @ MIN 1st 09:02 | no number No change (declined or offsetting) |
| CIN offense (Ja'Marr Chase, Chase Brown) CIN | Defensive Pass Interference drawn, 15 yds | CLE @ CIN 2nd 00:33 | no number No change (declined or offsetting) |
| LAR offense (Puka Nacua) LAR | Defensive Pass Interference drawn, 15 yds | ARI @ LAR 1st 00:47 | no number No change (declined or offsetting) |
| PHI offense (Saquon Barkley) PHI | Defensive Holding drawn, 5 yds | WAS @ PHI 3rd 01:26 | no number No change (declined or offsetting) |
| PHI offense (Saquon Barkley) PHI | Face Mask (15 Yards) drawn, 15 yds | WAS @ PHI 3rd 01:26 | no number No change (declined or offsetting) |
| ATL offense (Bijan Robinson) ATL | Defensive Offside drawn, 5 yds | NO @ ATL 3rd 08:55 | no number No change (declined or offsetting) |
| DEN defense DEN | Ineligible Downfield Pass drawn, 5 yds | LAC @ DEN 4th 09:09 | no number No change (declined or offsetting) |
| Player | Flags | What it cost |
|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry BAL | 51 | -140.2 |
| Brock Bowers LV | 54 | -145.4 |
| Jayden Daniels WAS | 61 | -177.1 |
| Puka Nacua LAR | 74 | -178.7 |
| Saquon Barkley PHI | 44 | -180.0 |
| Jake Bates DET | 49 | -192.1 |
| Justin Jefferson MIN | 56 | -197.6 |
| DEN defense DEN | 89 | -199.0 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown DET | 45 | -203.4 |
| Trey McBride ARI | 55 | -205.7 |
| Bijan Robinson ATL | 57 | -208.7 |
| Josh Allen BUF | 53 | -218.6 |
| Crew | Flags | What it cost |
|---|---|---|
| Ron Torbert's crew | 3 | -4.0 |
| Alex Moore's crew | 4 | -4.2 |
| Land Clark's crew | 2 | -14.0 |
| Alex Moore's crew | 13 | -25.5 |
| Scott Novak's crew | 5 | -26.9 |
| Adrian Hill's crew | 41 | -56.2 |
| Ron Torbert's crew | 39 | -89.0 |
| Brad Rogers's crew | 36 | -94.3 |
| Alex Kemp's crew | 47 | -99.1 |
| Brad Allen's crew | 43 | -111.4 |
| Shawn Smith's crew | 45 | -112.3 |
| Alex Moore's crew | 28 | -119.5 |
Live flags, win probability and what each call cost, in your pocket.